Day 13 - Plan

This "discipline" thing isn't much fun. I would ordinarily have put money on the Pittsburgh Penguins to win in overtime last night but couldn't because of my rules. They won.

Pre-race trading has been very erratic over the last few days and other traders have come unstuck. So, I think it's too dangerous to do at the moment. Nevertheless, I've messed about with a few just to see what was happening and, in the process, made a few pennies (about £4)

I'm very tempted to bet on tonight's rugby but have to resist the temptation. Sport gets back to normal tomorrow and things should be a lot more interesting.

Day 12

Nothing happening unless I stay up all night to watch Argentinian football. Did silly little bet on horse I had tipped in Geek Forum Tipping competition. Felt guilty and greened with a profit of 28p. Horse lost.

Finale - Day 11

I am still annoyed over yesterday's game. Robinho is a prat. He played properly for Mark Hughes at Man City for the first few games and then stopped trying. He was half-hearted yesterday. I would have played with double stakes today if I had won yesterday so he's cost me quite a lot of money.

Anyway, my first instincts today were not to lose. I thought there was a good chance of Egypt scoring first and was content to lay England. Jumped out sensibly after Egypt scored. Couldn't watch the game in the second half but as soon as the second goal was scored I greened.

Not a bad day. Small overall loss over the last two days. I could have done something daft today in an attempt to recover but didn't.

Plan For Day 11

I don't like losing and my most of my £40 was lost yesterday. It's tempting to attempt to recover losses by increasing stakes. I want to see if I can make my bank last for my thirty day period without needing to top it up with new money. So, I cannot afford to increase my stake.

Egypt were kind to me earlier this year in the African Cup. They are a good team and work hard. It is possible that England will score early and overwhelm them but there is just a chance that, if they could keep a clean sheet for twenty minutes or so, that England will struggle.

My bets today are to lay England @ 1.42 and back Over 2.5 goals @ 1.91 in almost equal amounts and retaining £400 in my bank. These bets are not mutually exclusive and if one is successful it will just about cover the loss on the other.

Finale - Day 10

My bet on Over 2.5 goals was under attack from the layers from the kickoff. If I had jumped out after 15 minutes , I would have lost 25% of my £40 stake. The betting was irrational. I cannot understand why people can react to things that have not happened in a short period of time. Yes, feel free to respond to a goal, but, for God's sake, how can anybody respond to the non-scoring of a goal in such a robust way ?

I "chased" the bet. Immediately before half time a goal was scored and I could have closed with a loss of £5.51 by laying at 2.54. Within five minutes of the second half I couldn't get out with a loss of less than £13 as the layers bullied again. Robinho missed a kiddy's chance. I am prepared to "chase" a bet but never lose that amount staked in chasing. So, as the time approached when I was forced to jump out to save it, I did so, recovering £20. Sod's law kicked in and within ten seconds of this lay bet being matched, Robinho scored a second goal for Brazil.

I was never in profit in this game. I feel a little unlucky because Brazil ought to have scored more goals but, I'm afraid, that's the way it is sometimes.

Plan For Day 10

Crusaders game last night had a 3 - 0 scoreline but the last goal was scored in injury time, so did the right thing by leaving it alone.

Today's bet is pretty obvious I think. I have backed Over 2.5 goals in the game between Republic of Ireland v Brazil. I am a little surprised to see that it is hovering around the even money mark. The game is being played at Arsenal's ground and this will be a help. If the game had been played at wembley, I would have given it a miss. The pitch is poor and this is bound to influence the result in tomorrow's England v Egypt game.

Day 9

Beautiful day here in South Wales and have spent last couple of hours walking dogs in a forest in the Brecon Beacons.
There are no opportunities for me to trade today. The Crusaders v Glenavon game is on TV but I would be completely lacking in discipline if I risked any money on it.

It's going to be a poor week, I think. International soccer (friendly) matches are not the best for trading.